Exit polls show close contest in MP, Chhattisgarh; give Rajasthan to Congress


New Delhi, Dec 07 :
Exit polls show a close contest between the ruling BJP and the Congress in Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh. In Rajasthan, exit polls predict a Congress win, while in Telangana, they favour Chief Minister K Chandrashekhara Rao’s TRS.
Elections were held in five states since last month. Votes will be counted on Tuesday, December 11. Surveys for all states are being released today after polling ended in Rajasthan and Telangana. Mizoram too had voted last month.
A poll conducted by Axis My India – India Today and Aaj Tak predicts a range of 102 to 120 seats for the BJP, seeking a fourth straight term in Madhya Pradesh and 104 to 122 for the Congress. But a Times Now- CNX survey predicts a clear majority for the BJP with 126 seats, while it gives the Congress 89 seats, a marked improvement over its tally in the last election but still trailing the BJP.
India TV poll gives BJP 122-130 seats against its 165 in 2013 and Congress 86-92 seats as opposed to its 58 seats in 2013. The Republic Jan Ki Baat survey predicts 108-128 seats fopr the BJP, 95 -111 for the Congress
Madhya Pradesh has 230 seats and the majority mark for a party to win is 116.
Follow live updates here: Surveys give BJP?advantage in tight race in Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh
In neighbouring Chhattisgarh too the Times Now-CNX exit poll gives the BJP a majority, just about, at 46, and the Congress 35. it predicts that the ambitious partnership between former Congressman Ajit Jogi and Mayawati’s BSP will get 7 seats. India TV’s survey too gives BJP the state at the upper end of a range of 42 to 50 seats, the Congress 32 to 38 and Jogi-BSP 6 to 8.
The CVoter – Republic TV poll, however shows a closer fight , giving BJP 35-43 seats and the Congress 40-50 and the Jogi-BSP combine 3-7 seats.
The Axis My India – India Today and Aaj Tak poll, however, shows Congress comfortably ahead at 55-65 seats and BJP trailing at 21-31.
Almost all polls show that Maya-Jogi combine, which was hoping to play the kingmaker, would end with seats in the range of 3-8.
Chhattisgarh has 90 assembly seats and a party needs 46 to form government.
In Rajasthan, two exit polls predict a Congress win. The India Today-Axis My India predicts a range of 119 to 141 seats for the Congress, good to unseat the BJP’s Vasundhara Raje; its gives the BJP 55-72 seats. A party needs 100 seats in the 200-member assembly in Rajasthan, where elections were not held on one seat because a candidate died.
The Times Now-CNX survey too predicts a majority for the Congress at 105 seats, with 85 for the BJP.
The Republic Jan Ki Baat poll, however, predicts a close contest with BJP bagging 83-103 seats against 163 of 2013 and the Congress 81-101 against 21 it got in 2013.
In Telangana, the Times Now-CNX poll predicts re-election for the Telangana Rashtriya Samiti or TRS, giving it 66 of the state’s 119 seats. A party can form government with 60 seats. The Republic Jan Ki Baat too shows a KCR win, with a range of 52 to 65 seats and 38 to 52 to the Congress, which contested along with regional allies including the Telugu Desam Party led by Chandrababu Naidu, Chief Minister of neighbouring Andhra Pradesh.


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